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新闻 & 事件 12bet官方 研究所’s 本地消费者商业指数 Shows a 1.9 Percent Decrease in Consumer 支出 Growth in August 2016

12bet官方 研究所’s 本地消费者商业指数 Shows a 1.9 Percent Decrease in Consumer 支出 Growth in August 2016

今天,12bet官方研究所发布了其 本地消费者商业指数 (LCCI) for August 2016, which showed that all but 3 of the 15 major U.S. cities studied experienced negative growth in year-over-year spending. Overall, year-over-year consumer spending growth declined by 1.9 percent in August - the largest dip since May 2016 and the second most significant decline in year-over-year growth since October 2013.

丹佛 experienced the fastest growth of all cities studied at 5 percent year-over-year. Across the 15 cities, consumer spending at restaurants contributed 0.2个百分点的增长, 还有服务支出, which contributed more than any other 产品类型 that month at 0.9个百分点.

This report provides a timely view of how the following cities and surrounding metro areas are faring economically both individually and in aggregate: Atlanta, 芝加哥, 哥伦布, 达拉斯, 丹佛, 底特律, 休斯顿, 迈阿密, 洛杉矶, 纽约, 凤凰城, 波特兰(或), 圣地亚哥, 旧金山, 和西雅图. By looking at actual anonymized financial transactions, LCCI提供了一个持续的, dynamic view of the health and vibrancy of the U.S. 消费者和企业经营的地方.

“August appears to have brought more of the same trends – with decreases in spending on durables and fuel and increased spending on restaurants and services,” Diana Farrell, President and CEO of the 12bet官方 研究所. “The difference was a very sharp slowdown in spending at small and large 企业. Growth in these 企业 has tended to offset declines in mid-sized 企业 in recent months, 在八月, 这种增长是不存在的.”

The key highlights from the latest Index include:

  • 小企业的平均贡献为0.6 percentage points to overall growth over the first eight months of 2016, but subtracted 0.2 percentage points in August; while mid-sized 企业 subtracted 1.9个百分点 from overall growth in August. This is the largest reduction in spending at mid-sized 企业 since the beginning of our series.
  • Reductions in spending on durables subtracted more from overall growth than any other 产品类型 in each of the first seven months of 2016. August saw another substantial drop in durables spending, subtracting 1.从整体增长中抽离5个百分点.
  • 燃料消费的下降也减少了1%.从整体增长中抽离5个百分点 in August, continuing an extended period of declining or flat growth that began in October 2014. These reductions in spending have been primarily driven by declining fuel prices.
  • 支出 by consumers that reside in the same neighborhood as the merchant has experienced a relatively volatile decline in growth since the end of 2015. Same neighborhood sales continued their downward trend in August 2016, subtracting 1.增长减少1%.
  • 支出 by consumers that reside in a different metro area than the merchant experienced a rare decline in May. 然而,从那时起,增长已经稳定下来. 这些消费者的支出增加了0.3 percentage points to growth in June, July, and August.

The LCCI offers unique advantages over existing measures of consumer spending.

  • LCCI捕获实际的事务, instead of self-reported measures of how consumers think they spend.
  • The LCCI provides timely data on spending in 15 major metropolitan areas; such geographic 粒度 is unavailable in most other spending measures. These 15 cities mirror the geographic and economic 多样性 of larger metropolitan areas in the United States and account for 32 percent of retail sales nationwide.
  • The index also presents a more granular view of local consumer commerce through five important lenses: consumer age, 消费者收入, 业务规模, 产品类型, and consumer residence relative to the location of the business. For each lens, we show how different segments contributed to year-over-year spending growth.
  • The LCCI captures economic activity in sectors that previously have not been well understood by other data sources. These include sectors such as food trucks, new merchants, and personal services.

Each release of the LCCI will describe the economic picture of local communities and provide a powerful tool for city development officials, 企业, 投资者, and statistical agencies to better understand the everyday economic health of consumers, 企业, 以及他们关心的地方.

The 12bet官方 研究所 is a think tank dedicated to delivering data-rich analyses and expert insights for the public good. 它的目的是帮助决策者, 企业, 非营利组织的领导者们也很欣赏这种规模, 粒度, 多样性, and interconnectedness of the global economic system and use timely data and thoughtful analysis to make more informed decisions that advance prosperity for all. 借鉴12bet官方 & Co.微软独有的专有数据, 专业知识, 市场准入, the 研究所 develops analyses and insights on the inner workings of the global economy, 框架关键问题, 召集利益相关者和主要思想家. 更多信息请访问: JP摩根追逐研究所.com.